James Forsyth of the Speccie was out on the campaign trail yesterday with Nigel Farage, the leader of Ukip, spending the day with him in South Shields. South Shields constituency, it will be remembered, was the old sinecure of MilibandD – before he decided to seek pastures new and re-enact the journey undertaken by the Pilgrim Fathers. As an aside, I am totally confujsed why an article about events yesterday is headed by a picture of today – but, as ever, I digress.
While Forsyth is correct that in negotiations Cameron will not get any movement on the four freedoms – namely the free movement of goods, services, people and capital – acceptance of which are conditional on full EU memebership, it is disappointing to see yet another journalist apparently believing, or accepting the premise, that renegotiation of full membership status is possible. That is the first “And”.
A country is either a full member of the EU, or it is not – and if not, then there are only two alternatives available in order to trade with the EU; membership of EFTA or Bi-Lateral Agreements on separate subjects, as has Switzerland. This then brings us to Farage’s position with his call for Britain to leave the European Union. He is on record as stating that this can only be done by using Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty, but other than that there is silence.
To enable trade to continue without horrendous interruption and consequences, on invoking Article 50 it would be necessary to simultaneously re-apply for membership of EFTA, of which we were a founding member – yet I have not heard, or read, about Farage mentioning this. Assuming this could be accomplished, we would still be liable to accept the four freedoms – so that leaves Farage in the same position as he now is in respect of controlling the immigration issue which he considers to be so important.
What surely needs to happen is that on resuming our membership of EFTA, we then need to negotiate bi-lateral agreements with the EU – but should that work not be being done now? Is it by Ukip? I think we should be told. Likewise David Cameron talks about renegotiation – but what happens if renegotiation fails; what are his back-up plans? We know he would then present an “Yes/No” referendum to the people (or so he says) – and if the answer is “No”, what then? All of these questions comprise the second “And”.
Farage is, presently, “riding the wave” and does not seem to recognise that, eventually, all waves break and crash on the shore of mis-conceived dreams. In other words people, we are, in true “political-form”, being “palmed-off” with sound bytes with the one purpose all politicians have – trying to keep us quiet for their own personal reasons in order to continue their careers.
They care not for us – only themselves!