The twitterati appears to be working itself up in a frenzy about the fact that Ukip have achieved a rating of 14% in an opinion poll conducted by ComRes, one to be published tomorrow in the Independent on Sunday and the Sunday Mirror.
- The next general election is almost two years ahead and was it not Harold Wilson who said that a week is a long time in politics?
- Were that % rating to be replicated in the 2015 general election, it would guarantee a Labour Government. Is that what the people and Ukip want?
- So, to prevent a government that the majority of people don’t want, the majority of the people would be forced, by political pressure and ‘pr’, to vote for a government they also don’t want.
- Therefore, for Ukip to have any effect – and to prevent a Labour government – then they would have to poll in the region, I would suggest, at least double that they have currently achieved in the Independent on Sunday/Sunday Mirror poll.
- Were David Cameron, who is after all a politician and whose main aim is to retain power, to perform a volte-face (for which he is undoubtedly qualified in view of his past performance) and to confirm that he would invoke Article 50 of the TEU and by doing that, negotiate a ‘free-trade’ agreement with the EU, one has to ask whether Ukip would continue to poll at 14% – or even achieve the figure of 28% that I suggested in order to prevent the formation of a Labour government?
- Point 5 is highly unlikely I know – but what if?
All the above raises further questions:
- Just what is the use of opinion polls, other than to allow politicians to ‘change tack’ and thus ensure their hold on what is no more than dictatorial power?
- If those responding to the questions of opinion pollsters have no real understanding of the underlying reasons behind the questions being asked, of what use are their responses?
- Because of point 2, is not the electorate being deliberately, cleverly and cynically led into an area whereby ‘rule of the mob’ is being choreographed by opinion polling companies who, the cynic in me suggests, could well be ‘hand-in-glove’ with the politicians.
- In respect of point 3, the difference twixt opinion polling companies and the media, is?
Can we ‘get a life’ here people, because the above suggests that the foregoing demonstrates that what we now have is no way to ‘run’ a country and also be a democracy.
Afterthought: Were voting compulsory, then I would be forced to vote for Ukip – but voting for the ‘best of a bad bunch’ is not the way to achieve a democracy that ‘works to people’s advantage‘, is it?