Mid-period of any parliamentary term any by-election will produce a protest vote, especially when the government of the day is taking unpopular measures, whether by a change of party representative or, in a ‘safe’ seat, a drop in the percentage voting for the new candidate of the government party. But, if we set aside the foregoing, one has to ask for what are the electorate voting, should the final result mirror the findings of Ashcroft?
What are Labour’s detailed policies on whatever aspect one chooses to name? Where is the choice twixt the Lib/Lab/Con on matters EU, immigration, equality and diversity, or the majority of any other area of policy – and it should be remembered all of them are wedded to central control so while they talk of devolution of power, that will never happen. Tim Montgomerie maintains that as Corby is an area where Ukip have great support, that if that party does not achieve at least 10% share of the vote, then they will have failed – to which I would say that if, under the conditions presently prevailing, Ukip, with what is truly a local candidate, fail to garner at least 20% of the vote then they really will have failed.
The question has to be asked just how short are people’s memories when Ashcroft’s findings show that 43% of those polled believe Labour are competent and capable. Another question which can also be asked is that if, again according to Ashcroft’s polling, a clear majority thought the Conservatives were “willing to take tough decisions for the long term” and that by two to one, people preferred the government’s argument on the debt and the deficit to the proposition that we should cut less fast and borrow more for longer, then just from where does a lead of 15% come?
What will be of interest will be the percentage of the electorate that turn out to vote and who will therefore appear content to continue their life of servitude under what is a democratized dictatorship.
Just some more thoughts………….